Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.160350 0.177369 0.194768 0.213846 0.234135 0.255028 0.278128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.137107 0.160844 0.186024 0.214583 0.245936 0.279172 0.316934
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.120473 0.148850 0.179928 0.216191 0.257043 0.301357 0.352776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.105881 0.137358 0.172868 0.215372 0.264352 0.318542 0.382541
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.096846 0.131190 0.170948 0.219582 0.276695 0.340910 0.417835
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.087579 0.123806 0.166808 0.220510 0.284693 0.357932 0.446801
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.079336 0.116906 0.162593 0.220763 0.291426 0.373147 0.473459
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.071479 0.109815 0.157560 0.219506 0.295931 0.385438 0.496490
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.065801 0.105065 0.155042 0.220987 0.303459 0.401115 0.523397
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062766 0.103558 0.156440 0.227195 0.316673 0.423563 0.558395
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057932 0.099217 0.153853 0.228088 0.323113 0.437720 0.583431
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054732 0.096906 0.153744 0.232009 0.333237 0.456319 0.613845
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050678 0.093246 0.151817 0.233688 0.340808 0.472218 0.641624
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046334 0.088839 0.148622 0.233497 0.345869 0.484973 0.665609
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042832 0.085430 0.146599 0.234707 0.352632 0.499812 0.692192
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038934 0.081097 0.143018 0.233596 0.356214 0.510567 0.713696
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036943 0.079639 0.143454 0.237915 0.366903 0.530323 0.746480
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034175 0.076690 0.141537 0.238830 0.372988 0.544183 0.771905
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031458 0.073603 0.139239 0.239066 0.378063 0.556700 0.795644
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.028579 0.069991 0.135950 0.237725 0.380884 0.566237 0.815586
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026607 0.067819 0.134742 0.239278 0.387584 0.580787 0.841930
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025882 0.067862 0.136964 0.245820 0.401163 0.604382 0.879949
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024008 0.065604 0.135430 0.246759 0.406956 0.617763 0.904907